Sports Betting Strategies


Basic important points in Handicapping

Greyhounds

These factors and MANY more are in our Professional Rating system! Brought to you by http://hottracktips.com/


Race Selection:

There is no "Magic Wand" that can be waved and then someone can deduce what dogs are going to be successful in EVERY race. Yet, there are basic rules for success, and if you follow along closely and apply the rules, then you CAN be successful when handicapping/wagering on races!

THE FIRST RULE of Handicapping is Race Selection, and ALL Professional Handicappers apply this MOST Important of Rules. It is the Professional Handicapper's FORTE to determine which races have dogs that stand out from the pack AND which races are "Playable". Race Selection is simply criteria applied to a race to see if it's a playable race.

Because not every race is "Playable", our handicappers use a race rating system referred to as "Rate". If the rate shows *** (3 stars) or more then the race is considered very playable, and is to be strongly considered. If the rate shows between * and ** (1-2 stars) then the race deserves much closer scrutiny, as it is a better than average handicappable race. If there are no stars then the handicapper suggests passing the race, (or at LEAST playing it VERY inexpensively). We use other symbols as well Click here to check it out.

The basic Factors of Successful race selection are, Early Speed, Late Speed, Class, Potential Speed and Form. In a Card of Greyhound Races there are many dogs and just about everyone of them have their own unique blend of the basic Racing Factors. It is your goal as a Handicapper, to find dogs that are FAR Superior in at Least one of these factors for each race, and Preferably at least two.

If you can find a dog that REALLY stands out in a race because it is much better than the other dogs in the race in at least Two of these factors, you have a race that is worth handicapping. The basic factors are listed below in what is generally considered the order of importance. The more predictive the factor the higher on the list it is.


Early Speed:

There are two types of early speed greyhounds. One shows a strong break out of the starting box, and the other tends to break in the middle of the pack and rush to the first turn, driving all the way through until about the 3rd turn. Both of these running styles tend to "benefit" by trouble in the first turn.

Class:

The class of the race is very important. Generally the class of the race is determined by the Grade of the race. Usually the higher the grade of the race the more consistent and fast are the dogs. In the lower grades it is important to be aware of dogs who are "down in grade". These dogs may of had trouble in a higher grade that they may not be subject to by running against dogs of a lesser class or grade. For a nice little Class Calculator Click here to Download!
Late Speed:
Late speed greyhounds generally have a slow break out of the box. They usually get to the first turn behind the pack. From there on is where they tend to start running their race. Some may show a gradual gain throughout the race, while others, wait until the 3rd turn or even the stretch before they make their move. A truely late speed dog, will quite often benefit by trouble in the first turn by running "under" it.


Potential Time:

Time is an important factor in determining what dog may be the actual fastest dog in the race. It is also widely used as a stand alone factor by many people in an attempt to determine which dogs are the best in the race. We convert the time to FPS ("Feet Per Second" traveled) so dogs running from different distances, tracks or odd grades can be compared.
We believe time in itself is important, but as far as a determining factor it is only about second or third in importance. We also believe the correct useage is:
If you have two dogs that are basically equal in the factors above, then you go with the dog that has the best average FPS rating.


Form:

Since the greyhound doesn't have a rider, if a dog's performance is getting progressively better or worse, it becomes an Important Predictive factor.
A way to look at Form is the F.A.T. system (Form + Ability = Talent). If a dog is showing to be in exceptional Form he/she may possess enough Ability to present a more Talented performance than what may be generally expected. Conversely if a dog is out of Form but shows tremendous Ability he will quite often turn a less Talented performance.
The way we use Form is basically as a measurement applied to the dog in relation to the other dogs in the race. It helps to determine and predict whether the dog is improving or declining in it's performance. By using charts for each dog, and a few calculations we try to find the dog/dogs who have the best chance of doing well in the race.
 

This chart's trend line shows the normal decrease and increase in a greyhound's times (ARTs) throughout his career.

This chart's trend line is a 6 line moving average applied to a
dog's Class points. This shows the dog's Form Cycle.


Track Preference:

A greyhound who's running style and post position will keep him clear of trouble is very important and useful in handicapping. It is important to know the preferred running preferences of the dog. Many dogs prefer to run midtrack, rail, or to the outside of the pack.

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